Xi Jinping – Page 2 – think tanks monitor

Donald Trump speaking at a podium while displaying a chart titled "Reciprocal Tariffs."

Trump’s New Tariffs Hit Asia at the Worst Possible Moment

June 26, 2026

This analysis explores the economic fallout of the Trump administration’s latest tariff strategy following the Supreme Court’s rejection of previous measures. By invoking Section 301 investigations against 60 economies, Washington is reshaping its trade policy amid an already volatile global environment. This post details the compounding impact on Asian markets, which are currently grappling with currency depreciation, high oil prices, and the broader consequences of the recent US-Iran conflict. We examine how these broad-based tariffs create significant compliance uncertainty for global supply chains, strain relationships with key allies, and threaten to increase costs for American households. Ultimately, the article questions the effectiveness of this aggressive trade posture, noting that previous efforts failed to substantively alter industrial policies while creating persistent economic instability.

Heavy traffic on a highway in the Middle East with iconic buildings in the background.

The Middle East Can No Longer Rely on One Superpower

June 26, 2026

This article explores the structural shift in Middle Eastern geopolitics, where the long-standing reliance on a single US-led security order is rapidly eroding. The 2026 conflict between the United States and Iran has laid bare the divergence between Washington’s military dominance and the region’s increasing economic integration with China. As American strategic interests become more detached from global energy flows, regional powers are seeking greater autonomy through “de-intermediation”—directly managing their own disputes and exploring nonaggression frameworks. We examine how this transition, from a reliance on external guarantors to a homegrown regional architecture, represents a defining moment for the Middle East as it seeks to move from an arena of great-power competition to an active geopolitical player.

A stylized graphic featuring a bald eagle head attached to a futuristic drone body with the American flag pattern on its center, set against a bright blue sky.

America Is Losing the Drone and AI Race It Started

June 23, 2026

The recent conflict with Iran has exposed a critical reality: American military dominance, once predicated on proprietary technology and unmatched scale, is being undermined by a new era of AI and low-cost, mass-produced drones. While Washington remains focused on legacy structures, competitors are closing the technological gap through adversarial distillation and domestic innovation. This article explores how the Pentagon’s failure to adapt its procurement and institutional culture threatens to turn current technological advantages into strategic liabilities, necessitating a fundamental rethinking of how the U.S. prepares for the next generation of warfare.

A large cargo ship featuring the Chinese flag sailing on the open sea.

China Wins the Iran War Without Fighting It

June 19, 2026

This analysis explores how China leveraged years of patient diplomacy and infrastructure investment to emerge as the primary strategic winner of the Iran conflict. By maintaining neutrality and deep commercial ties across the Gulf, Beijing has secured its energy future while avoiding the costs of military engagement, effectively redefining regional influence.

Vladimir Putin and Donald Trump shaking hands on an airfield.

Nuclear Arms Control After New START: The World Has No Rulebook

June 17, 2026

The official expiration of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) on February 5, 2026, marks a historic collapse of the bilateral nuclear arms control framework. For the first time since 1969, the world’s two largest nuclear powers operate without legally binding limits on their strategic arsenals. This analysis explores the risks posed by this legal vacuum, including heightened unpredictability, the erosion of transparency mechanisms, and the challenges of integrating emerging technologies—such as AI and hypersonics—into a future arms control architecture. With no formal successor agreement currently under negotiation, the global security landscape faces a precarious shift toward an unconstrained nuclear environment.

A collection of international newspapers featuring headlines about geopolitical instability and Donald Trump.

No Winners: How the Iran War Left Every Power Worse Off

June 16, 2026

This analysis argues that the recent Iran conflict resulted in a strategic failure for all major stakeholders. While regimes survived and tactical strikes occurred, the war eroded economic stability, shattered regional trust, and failed to establish a durable security architecture. By examining the structural damage to energy corridors and the hardening of nuclear ambitions, the piece demonstrates that the conflict left the Middle East more fragile and unpredictable, fundamentally undermining the influence of both regional and global powers.

Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu stand together in formal attire.

The Stalemate Washington Thinks It’s Winning — But Isn’t

June 15, 2026

This analysis deconstructs the current U.S.-China diplomatic stalemate, arguing that Washington’s reliance on superficial deal-making and optics masks a deepening structural imbalance. While the U.S. remains distracted by regional conflicts in the Middle East, China is leveraging its rare-earth export controls, record trade surpluses, and expanded manufacturing dominance to consolidate power. The piece warns that by misinterpreting this managed paralysis as a victory for strategic stability, American policy is inadvertently allowing China to solidify long-term gains that will prove increasingly difficult to reverse.

A chess board featuring a US dollar bill and a Chinese yuan bill facing off with knight pieces.

Washington Is Building the Yuan’s Latin American Empire With Its Own Hands

June 13, 2026

This analysis examines how U.S. foreign policy—specifically the increased use of sanctions and unpredictable tariff threats—is incentivizing Latin American nations to diversify their reserves. By systematically transforming the dollar into a politically conditional instrument, Washington has created a vacuum that China is strategically filling with its own financial infrastructure, significantly altering the geopolitical landscape of the region.

Donald Trump sitting inside a traditional golden-trimmed state carriage.

Trump’s Civilizational Rhetoric Is Fracturing the Very West It Claims to Defend

June 13, 2026

This article examines the rise of “civilizationalism” as a guiding doctrine in American foreign policy and the resulting strain on the traditional Western alliance. By analyzing the historical parallels to late-stage imperial Rome and the fracturing of multilateral commitments, we discuss how the shift toward identity-based rhetoric—rather than civic or interest-based diplomacy—is accelerating a global transition toward an “American-minus-one” international system, where key partners increasingly seek stability and trade arrangements outside of Washington’s influence.

Xi Jinping and Kim Jong Un walking on a red carpet at an airfield with an honor guard and a large airplane in the background.

What Xi and Kim Really Want From Each Other

June 10, 2026

This analysis explores the strategic motivations behind Xi Jinping’s recent state visit to North Korea, examining the complex triangular relationship between Beijing, Pyongyang, and Moscow. As North Korea deepens its military ties with Russia, we discuss how China is navigating the erosion of its traditional diplomatic framework, the pursuit of regional stability, and the ongoing challenge of maintaining economic and political influence over a regime now emboldened by its own nuclear status.

Trump and Xi Jinping shaking hands during a formal meeting.

Trump’s Taiwan Arms Freeze Is a Strategic Gift to Beijing

June 5, 2026

The Trump administration’s decision to pause a significant arms package to Taiwan marks a departure from four decades of bipartisan defense strategy. By conditioning military support on bilateral relations with Beijing, this move undermines the Six Assurances and raises critical questions about Washington’s long-term reliability among its Indo-Pacific treaty allies.

A wide view of a G20 summit conference hall featuring flags and representatives from various nations.

The Case for a Third Economic Pole Without the US or China

June 3, 2026

This analysis examines the recent Chatham House report, Saving global economic governance from the ‘Trump shock’, which advocates for the creation of a “third economic pole” in the global financial system. As the U.S. and China increasingly weaponize economic policy and dismantle multilateral institutions, the report argues that market-oriented middle powers must move beyond ad-hoc “variable geometry” coalitions. By establishing a standing alliance between the European Union and the 12 CPTPP member states, these nations could create a stable, rules-based trade bloc large enough to maintain economic openness and resilience independently of the two competing hegemons.

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Tag: Xi Jinping

Trump’s New Tariffs Hit Asia at the Worst Possible Moment

The Middle East Can No Longer Rely on One Superpower

America Is Losing the Drone and AI Race It Started

China Wins the Iran War Without Fighting It

Nuclear Arms Control After New START: The World Has No Rulebook

No Winners: How the Iran War Left Every Power Worse Off

The Stalemate Washington Thinks It’s Winning — But Isn’t

Washington Is Building the Yuan’s Latin American Empire With Its Own Hands

Trump’s Civilizational Rhetoric Is Fracturing the Very West It Claims to Defend

What Xi and Kim Really Want From Each Other

Trump’s Taiwan Arms Freeze Is a Strategic Gift to Beijing

The Case for a Third Economic Pole Without the US or China

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