America

A wide view of a G20 summit conference hall featuring flags and representatives from various nations.

The Case for a Third Economic Pole Without the US or China

June 3, 2026

This analysis examines the recent Chatham House report, Saving global economic governance from the ‘Trump shock’, which advocates for the creation of a “third economic pole” in the global financial system. As the U.S. and China increasingly weaponize economic policy and dismantle multilateral institutions, the report argues that market-oriented middle powers must move beyond ad-hoc “variable geometry” coalitions. By establishing a standing alliance between the European Union and the 12 CPTPP member states, these nations could create a stable, rules-based trade bloc large enough to maintain economic openness and resilience independently of the two competing hegemons.

Aerial view of industrial rare earth mining ponds in a lush, mountainous region of Myanmar.

Trump Is Trading Myanmar’s Democracy for Rare Earth Minerals

June 1, 2026

This article investigates the Trump administration’s dramatic shift in Myanmar policy, pivoting from decades of democracy promotion to a transactional pursuit of rare earth minerals. By analyzing the gutting of humanitarian programs, the entry of unconventional political lobbyists, and the logistical challenges of supply chains controlled by China-backed groups, we assess how this prioritization of strategic resources threatens long-term U.S. regional influence and democratic values.

Artistic collage featuring the Iranian leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Donald Trump over a map.

Will the New US and Iran Peace Deal Mirror the JCPOA

May 30, 2026

This analysis examines the structural differences between the potential 2026 US-Iran agreement and the 2015 JCPOA. While both address nuclear concerns, the current negotiations are primarily driven by the urgent need to stabilize the Strait of Hormuz and resolve active military hostilities. We explore how this bilateral, crisis-led approach differs from the original multilateral framework and the challenges to achieving a lasting settlement.

Donald Trump in a "USA" hat leading a meeting with advisors around a conference table.

The Iran War Gives Trump a Nuclear Exit

May 30, 2026

This analysis examines the dangerous intersection of political humiliation and nuclear policy within the ongoing US-Iran conflict. By exploring the psychological drivers of escalation, the limitations of current presidential authority, and the geopolitical fallout of potential nuclear use, we argue for immediate institutional reforms to ensure robust oversight and prevent the unthinkable.

Thick smoke clouds rise over an urban landscape following military strikes.

Iran War Is Turning the 2026 Midterms Into a Republican Crisis

May 30, 2026

This article analyzes how the conflict with Iran has evolved into a significant political liability for the Republican Party ahead of the 2026 midterm elections. By examining shifts in polling data, voter demographics, and the economic impact of energy price spikes, we explore why the party’s narrow congressional majority is increasingly at risk.

A soldier in camouflage kneeling on a dirt path while operating a drone controller, with a military tank nearby.

Why Europe Should Cofinance US Defense Enablers

May 27, 2026

This analysis argues for a structured cofinancing model between Europe and the United States to address persistent shortfalls in high-end military enablers, such as secure command networks and advanced intelligence. By formalizing these investments, allies can maintain credible deterrence against regional threats while optimizing resources across a multipolar global landscape.

European political leaders walking and conversing during a diplomatic meeting regarding maritime navigation.

Western Leaders Are Losing the Public

May 26, 2026

This report analyzes the deepening crisis of legitimacy facing leaders across the G7 nations in May 2026. By examining the collapse in approval ratings for figures such as Keir Starmer, Emmanuel Macron, Friedrich Merz, and Donald Trump, the article explores the common threads of public dissatisfaction—specifically the erosion of the social contract driven by persistent inflation, stagnant growth, and unaffordable living costs. With local election results in Britain signaling a major fragmentation of the traditional two-party system and similar trends emerging elsewhere, the piece evaluates whether these record-low ratings represent a temporary protest or a fundamental unraveling of the post-war political consensus.

Gabbard’s DNI Exit: When Truth Became a Liability

May 25, 2026

This report examines the resignation of Tulsi Gabbard as Director of National Intelligence, analyzing the turbulent 18-month tenure that marked her time in the Trump administration. By detailing the fundamental clashes over Iran policy, her marginalization from key decision-making circles, and her controversial transparency initiatives, the article explores the broader institutional challenges of maintaining objective intelligence in a politically charged environment.

Earth globe sitting on cracked, dry desert ground at sunset.

Updating a Climate Scenario Doesn’t Mean the Crisis Is Over

May 23, 2026

This analysis clarifies the recent retirement of the RCP8.5 climate scenario, correcting the misleading narrative that scientific updates signal an end to the climate crisis. By examining new CMIP7 data, the article demonstrates that while policy successes have moved us away from worst-case emissions pathways, the world still faces significant warming and irreversible environmental tipping points, underscoring the urgent need for continued climate action.

A crowd of people with a Cuban flag held high.

Is Cuba the Next Venezuela? Washington’s Escalation Playbook

May 23, 2026

This analysis examines the escalating U.S. pressure campaign against Cuba, characterized by intelligence leaks, criminal indictments, and economic blockades. By comparing these developments to the strategic framework used against Venezuela, the article explores how Washington is methodically constructing a legal and political pretext to justify potential future military intervention.

A U.S. Navy warship sailing past commercial cargo container ships in a maritime chokepoint.

Hormuz Proved Chokepoints Can Be Weaponized. Asia Is Next.

May 22, 2026

This analysis explores the systemic vulnerability of global maritime chokepoints, highlighted by the recent closure of the Strait of Hormuz. We examine how drone technology and insurance market manipulation create catastrophic economic risks, with specific focus on Asia’s critical passages. The piece evaluates the geopolitical implications for China, the United States, and the intensifying competition over secondary trade corridors.

Vladimir Putin speaking at a podium with Russian and Chinese flags in the background.

Why US Pressure Keeps Pushing Moscow and Beijing Closer

May 20, 2026

This analysis explores the resilience of the Sino-Russian partnership, arguing that Western pressure has inadvertently solidified their cooperation. By examining the shift from ideological alignment to a partnership built on shared threats—and analyzing the failure of recent U.S. “wedge strategies”—we highlight why Moscow and Beijing view their collaboration as an indispensable strategic necessity, even amidst growing economic asymmetries and localized frictions.

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Category: America

The Case for a Third Economic Pole Without the US or China

Trump Is Trading Myanmar’s Democracy for Rare Earth Minerals

Will the New US and Iran Peace Deal Mirror the JCPOA

The Iran War Gives Trump a Nuclear Exit

Iran War Is Turning the 2026 Midterms Into a Republican Crisis

Why Europe Should Cofinance US Defense Enablers

Gabbard’s DNI Exit: When Truth Became a Liability

Updating a Climate Scenario Doesn’t Mean the Crisis Is Over

Is Cuba the Next Venezuela? Washington’s Escalation Playbook

Hormuz Proved Chokepoints Can Be Weaponized. Asia Is Next.

Why US Pressure Keeps Pushing Moscow and Beijing Closer

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