Category: Expert Insights

Person carrying a cardboard sign that reads "Stop Trump's War" at a protest.

Trump’s Iran Deadline Tests War Powers Limits

The expiration of the War Powers Resolution’s 60-day window has triggered a high-stakes legal battle between the White House and Congress. As the Trump administration cites a fragile ceasefire to justify continued deployments, lawmakers are weighing the necessity of formal authorization against the risks of open-ended regional conflict and diminished legislative oversight.

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Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman engaging in a conversation with a regional leader and military officials.

Iran War Drives Saudi Red Sea Recalibration

The conflict with Iran has prompted a strategic recalibration in Saudi Arabia, shifting focus toward the Red Sea to bypass the blocked Strait of Hormuz. By expanding the East-West pipeline and NEOM’s port infrastructure, Riyadh aims to secure trade routes amid a deepening rift with the UAE and volatile global energy markets.

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A US Navy F/A-18 Super Hornet fighter jet landing on the flight deck of an aircraft carrier.

Why US Pressure on Iran Keeps Failing

Recent American airstrikes and naval blockades have failed to yield the intended concessions from Tehran. Instead, Iran has consolidated domestic support and utilized its strategic position near the Strait of Hormuz to maintain leverage. With global oil prices surging and diplomatic channels narrowing, the confrontation highlights the limitations of force in resolving long-standing geopolitical disputes.

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A diverse group of international visitors and local guides standing in a lush green tea plantation in rural China, examining freshly picked tea leaves.

China’s Governance Model as Global Export: Appeal, Strategy, and Limits

Beijing is aggressively positioning its state-led governance model as a viable alternative to liberal democracy. By targeting students and scholars from the Global South through expansive scholarship programs and the Belt and Road Initiative, China aims to shape global narratives on modernization while bypassing political resistance in the West.

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Wide-angle view of the empty United Nations General Assembly hall in New York with the UN emblem on the golden front wall.

The NPT’s Last Chance: Can New York Save Nuclear Diplomacy?

As the 2026 NPT Review Conference opens in New York, the global non-proliferation regime faces its most existential threat since the Cold War. Against a backdrop of active strikes on nuclear sites and the total collapse of U.S.-Russia arms control, diplomats must navigate a perfect storm of regional warfare and systemic mistrust. With Article VI commitments stalled and China’s arsenal surging to 600 warheads, the next four weeks will determine if the NPT remains a pillar of security or becomes a relic of a bypassed era.

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A silhouette of a US Navy aircraft carrier at sea during sunset with a fighter jet taking off.

US Iran Blockade Highlights Timing Challenges

The U.S. naval blockade of Iran, while intended to force concessions, has become a strategic bottleneck. Implemented after open hostilities had already commenced, the measure has inadvertently narrowed the space for diplomacy, prompting Iran to decentralize its operations and use the Strait of Hormuz as a counter-lever. This report examines the high cost of delayed coercive sequencing in a rapidly escalating regional conflict.

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A classic oil painting illustration of Uncle Sam looking stressed while leaning over a world map with European politicians around him.

Europe Tests Limits of US Influence

The transatlantic relationship is entering a new, more transactional era as European leaders increasingly prioritize domestic stability over unconditional alignment with U.S. foreign policy. Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s decision to opt out of the naval blockade against Iran highlights a growing strategic divergence, where European capitals are no longer willing to bear the economic costs of American-led confrontations.

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Industrial scene at a port showing a crane lifting large white and brown bags of sulfur.

Iran War Triggers Global Sulfur Supply Crisis

Beyond oil and gas, the Iran conflict has triggered a severe global sulfur shortage. As a critical byproduct of energy production, Middle Eastern sulfur exports underpin the world’s fertilizer, nickel, and copper industries. With major producers like Turkey and China imposing export bans, the “sulfur crunch” is now emerging as a major threat to global food security and the green energy transition.

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A crowd of Iranian women in black chadors protesting and holding portraits of Ayatollah Khamenei and Iranian flags.

Why the “Regime Change” Agenda for Iran is an Illusion

The policy of “regime change” in Iran is often viewed in Washington as a viable option, yet it ignores the deep-seated historical grievances, a complex multi-centric governing system, and a resilient social fabric. Unlike smaller states, Iran’s vast geography and grassroots paramilitary networks, rooted in its unique political-religious identity, make external imposition of power a strategic impossibility.

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Thick grey smoke rising from a city skyline following an explosion or airstrike at dusk.

New Warfare Between Iran and Israel: Phosphorus, Precision Strikes, and the Narrative War in February–March 2026

The February–March 2026 war marks a turning point in modern conflict, where kinetic firepower meets a sophisticated narrative war. From the massive 900-strike opening wave to the controversial use of white phosphorus in Yohmor and AI-generated propaganda, this article explores how the Iran-Israel dyad has redefined hybrid warfare in a hyper-mediated, multi-domain environment.

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu shaking hands in front of national flags.

India’s Israel Policy: Caught between Strategic Partnership and Strategic Hedging?

India’s foreign policy is undergoing a profound recalibration, moving from a traditional anti-colonial stance to a pragmatic “Special Strategic Partnership” with Israel. While New Delhi continues to balance its critical energy and diaspora interests in the Gulf and its strategic ties with Iran, the recent elevation of the Israel partnership signals a shift toward prioritizing defense modernization and high-tech cooperation in an increasingly multipolar Middle East.

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