Category: War, Defense & Security

BRICS National Security Advisers stand in a line for a group photo at a summit in New Delhi.

BRICS Is Building a Security Identity

As BRICS expands to include nearly half the world’s population, the bloc is moving beyond economics to focus on shared security challenges. By prioritizing practical cooperation over military alliances, members are finding new ways to navigate global instability.

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A soldier in camouflage uniform holding a rocket-propelled grenade launcher in a public setting.

Trump’s Congo Peace Deal Is Unraveling and the Minerals Were Never Safe

Seven months after the Trump administration’s high-profile intervention in the Congo, the peace deal remains stalled and the conflict has reignited. By prioritizing transactional mineral access over long-term stability and democratic accountability, Washington has struggled to displace entrenched Chinese dominance or secure a lasting end to the fighting.

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Officials in traditional Gulf Arab attire engaged in diplomatic discussions.

Iran and the Gulf Are Talking Again, But Don’t Call It Peace

Following the volatility of the 2026 war, Gulf states and Iran are seeking a new regional equilibrium. While both sides are pursuing deeper diplomatic and economic ties to hedge against the limits of external security guarantees, fundamental structural tensions—and the risk of renewed confrontation—remain.

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The flags of the United States and Iran waving side-by-side in the wind.

The US-Iran Peace Window Is Narrowing Fast

Following the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum, the path toward a durable peace between the US and Iran looks increasingly precarious. With deep disagreements over maritime tolls and persistent regional instability, both nations are struggling to move beyond a fragile ceasefire toward a lasting and comprehensive settlement.

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A hazy silhouette of Istanbul’s skyline, including mosques, overlooking ships in the harbor at sunset.

Turkey Holds the Key to Black Sea Security and Knows It

With the Montreux Convention entering its 90th year, Turkey has successfully leveraged its control over the Bosphorus and Dardanelles to become the ultimate gatekeeper of the Black Sea. This article explores how Ankara’s “regional ownership” strategy is shaping postwar security and balancing power between Russia and NATO.

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An aerial view of a green lawn in Washington, D.C., featuring a decorative archway and the U.S. Capitol building in the background.

The World’s CT Chiefs Are Meeting. America Sent a Wish List.

With the UN’s Ninth Counter-Terrorism Strategy review underway, the global community faces a pivotal moment. Yet, as threats evolve, the United States arrives at the table with a significantly dismantled institutional presence. This shift raises urgent questions about the future of international cooperation in an era of rising global instability.

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A U.S. political figure in a blue suit engaging in a formal discussion with a Bahraini official wearing traditional white thobe and ghutra.

Bahrain and Kuwait Are Paying the Price for America’s War

The strategic bargain of hosting US military bases has fundamentally shifted. Following the recent US-Iran conflict, Gulf states find themselves bearing the human and economic brunt of regional escalation. As infrastructure lies damaged and security guarantees falter, a quiet, urgent reckoning over the future of Western military presence is underway.

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A formal meeting of Lebanese government officials seated around a large conference table with the Lebanese flag in the background.

Lebanon’s Sovereignty Gamble: A Deal That Rewards the Occupier

Despite ceremonial promises of peace, the new US-brokered agreement between Lebanon and Israel reveals a troubling framework. By conditioning Israeli withdrawal on Lebanon’s ability to disarm Hezbollah—a task the state has failed to achieve for decades—the deal may effectively cement an indefinite occupation rather than securing true independence.

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An abstract digital art piece showing white silhouettes of drones and missiles over a circuit board pattern.

Why AI Killing Machines Won’t Spread as Fast as Feared

This analysis challenges the narrative that AI-powered warfare will proliferate rapidly. While the Iran conflict demonstrated the immense tactical impact of systems like Palantir’s Maven, the author argues that true operational AI targeting is constrained by extreme barriers to entry: massive data labeling requirements, reliance on high-end cloud infrastructure, and the need for a mature precision-munitions industry. By examining the Israeli “blueprint”—built on years of data integration, multibillion-dollar cloud contracts, and robust domestic arms manufacturing—the piece highlights why AI remains “brittle” and difficult to replicate. Contrasting this with the rapid spread of simpler autonomous drones, the article concludes that while AI-driven conflict is inevitable, the “killing machines” of popular imagination face significant technical and material bottlenecks that will dictate a much slower global adoption timeline.

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Two diplomats shaking hands at the Lake Lucerne Summit with flags of different nations displayed in the background.

The Iran Deal Left Israel Out. That Was a Choice, Not an Oversight.

This analysis explores the strategic friction following the June 2026 U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. By intentionally excluding Israel from the negotiating table and deconfliction mechanisms, Washington has gained short-term tactical flexibility at the cost of long-term alliance stability. The article examines the “rhetorical whiplash” between Washington and Jerusalem, the dangers of bypassing key regional stakeholders, and the risk that alienated allies may undermine the fragile ceasefire’s implementation phase. It concludes that managing critical partnerships through public condescension rather than private coordination threatens the prospects for a durable regional order.

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Iranian ballistic missiles displayed near the Azadi Tower with Iranian flags flying in the foreground.

Iran Still Has Thousands of Missiles. Verifying Them Will Be Harder Than the Nukes.

This analysis examines the critical omission of ballistic missile constraints in the recent US-Iran ceasefire agreement. While nuclear protocols benefit from established international oversight, the Iranian missile program presents unique verification challenges due to its mobile nature, dual-use industrial base, and extensive underground infrastructure. Drawing on historical precedents from Iraq, North Korea, and Libya, the text proposes a seven-layer verification architecture. It argues that failing to integrate missile controls into the current 60-day negotiating window risks merely deferring, rather than resolving, the underlying regional security threat.

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