Syria Cannot Save Lebanon, It Has Not Yet Saved Itself
This analysis critiques the proposal that Syria could act as a stabilizing force in Lebanon, mirroring its 1976 intervention. By examining the institutional decay, fragmented military, and lack of internal legitimacy in contemporary Syria, as well as the changed political landscape in Beirut, we argue that this strategy is detached from current geopolitical realities and risks further regional escalation.
Is Trump Trading Western Security for a Nobel Peace Prize?
This analysis investigates the critical intersection of diplomatic urgency and electoral politics. We examine whether the current U.S.-Iran ceasefire framework is being shaped by long-term security assessments or a push for a Nobel Peace Prize ahead of the 2026 midterms, and the potential costs this “diplomatic gamble” imposes on regional stability and alliance credibility.
International Law Is Losing the Middle East, Here Is How to Save It
This analysis argues that international law is losing its relevance in the Middle East, transforming from a system of restraint into a language of accusation. By examining the structural failures of the ICJ, ICC, and Security Council, we explore how selective enforcement and the lack of political consequences have rendered legal condemnations ineffective against ongoing conflicts.