Analysis: In this analytical interview with Glenn Diesen, Quincy Institute EVP Trita Parsi argues that Washington's reluctance to absorb the political costs of either renewed war or a formal diplomatic deal with Tehran may push Trump toward a "Swiss cheese" strategy of gradually relaxing blockade and sanctions enforcement. He explains that a prolonged, unenforced standoff accelerates the collapse of the US-led Gulf security umbrella, prompting Saudi Arabia and regional states to hedge toward China and Russia. Parsi also notes that rising bipartisan opposition to AIPAC in the newly elected Congress signals a structural normalization of US-Israel ties.
