Tag: Taiwan

Aerial view of a US Navy carrier strike group moving across the blue ocean.

US Munitions Crisis Threatens China Deterrence

Recent combat operations in the Middle East have significantly depleted American munitions reserves, raising alarms about U.S. readiness to deter China. As Beijing maintains a massive lead in industrial production, the Pentagon is prioritizing the “Hellscape” strategy—using swarms of unmanned systems to defend the Taiwan Strait—while struggling to address a multibillion-dollar backlog in conventional arms deliveries to Taipei.

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The Chinese national flag waving in the wind with a modern skyscraper in the background.

Trump-Xi Summit Puts Economics Before Escalation

The Trump-Xi summit marks a shift toward “business statecraft,” where economic interdependence serves as a deterrent against military escalation. Accompanied by top U.S. tech and finance leaders, President Trump is prioritizing agricultural and energy deals, signaling that both superpowers currently view market stability as more vital than ideological or territorial confrontation.

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Illustration of US and China hands engaged in a tug-of-war with a rope over a globe.

China Secures Lasting Leverage Over US Policy

The upcoming Trump-Xi summit arrives as China secures lasting leverage over U.S. policy through its control of critical mineral supply chains. Following the 2025 trade confrontation, Washington has increasingly traded strategic technology safeguards for economic stability, a shift that risks marginalizing regional allies and altering the long-term balance of power in the Indo-Pacific.

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Taiwanese soldiers in camouflage standing with a large national flag next to military missile launchers and a drone.

Trump-Xi Summit Tests Taiwan’s Trust in US Support

President Trump’s Beijing summit has intensified anxieties in Taiwan regarding the stability of American security commitments. Despite a record $11 billion arms authorization, delivery delays and transactional demands for semiconductor investments have significantly eroded Taiwanese public confidence. As Xi Jinping prioritizes Taiwan in talks, the region remains wary of shifts in Washington’s long-standing strategic ambiguity.

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Two gold interlocking gears featuring the national flags of China and the United States.

Small Steps Define Trump’s Beijing Visit

President Trump’s visit to Beijing, the first by a U.S. leader in a decade, seeks a tactical stabilization of ties with China. Amid the ongoing Iran conflict and trade frictions, both nations are prioritizing “managed competition” over a full reset, focusing on supply chain resilience, AI safety, and restoring human connections.

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Chinese military officers in green uniforms walking in front of the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

Beijing’s Patient Strategy on Taiwan

Beijing pursues unification through patience, leveraging power trends, Taiwan’s divisions, and gray‑zone pressure while avoiding a costly war. Its long game aims to make political convergence seem inevitable without triggering catastrophic conflict.

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Large Chinese ballistic missile canisters on transport vehicles during a military parade with a soldier in the foreground.

US-China Nuclear Rivalry Edges Closer to the Brink

China’s rapid nuclear buildup, projected to exceed 1,000 warheads by 2030, is fundamentally reshaping global strategic stability. Driven by fears of US intervention, Beijing’s expansion has accelerated American modernization and deepened regional tensions. Breaking this cycle requires pragmatic, small-scale transparency measures and concrete discussions on restraint during upcoming high-level summits.

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A group of military personnel in blue and green flight suits standing in formation.

Ukraine’s Defense Innovations Present Critical Lessons for Taiwan’s Security Strategy

In January 2026, the security of Taiwan is being redefined by “battlefield truths” exported from Ukraine. As Taipei faces intensifying pressure from Beijing—most recently via the “Justice Mission 2025” drills—it has fundamentally pivoted its defense strategy toward asymmetric “porcupine” warfare, prioritizing millions of low-cost drones over traditional “big toy” platforms like submarines and fighter jets.

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Donald Trump seated at a formal table, looking serious, with American flags visible in the background

Trump’s 2025 Strategy: The End of American Primacy and the Rise of Transactional Realism in Asia

The Trump administration’s 2025 National Security Strategy signifies a significant break from the post-World War II international order by rejecting the aim of “permanent American domination” and shifting towards a focus on reindustrialization and “America First” policies, moving the U.S. from upholding norms to aggressive commercial competition in the Indo-Pacific.

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