Tag: G20

A close-up, blue-tinted macro shot of a United States one-hundred-dollar bill featuring the words "In God We Trust".

The Dollar Won’t Crash — But History Says It Will Fade

Drawing on the historical template of the British pound, this article examines why the dollar’s decline will likely be a prolonged, punctuated process rather than a sudden collapse. By analyzing shifting trade dynamics, reserve currency patterns, and recent market behavior during geopolitical stress, we explore how structural economic forces are gradually eroding the dollar’s global hegemony, even as it remains deeply embedded in current financial systems.

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Close-up of a person's hands counting United States dollar banknotes.

The Dollar Is Dying and The World Is Renegotiating Its Price

This analysis explores the structural and psychological erosion of the U.S. dollar’s role as the foundation of global finance. With U.S. federal debt exceeding critical thresholds and interest payments increasingly consuming the federal budget, the traditional framing of a “strong dollar” is facing unprecedented political scrutiny. We examine the tensions within Washington as policymakers weigh the benefits of currency depreciation to boost domestic manufacturing against the risk of alienating foreign creditors. This report details the global response—from diversified central bank reserves to the rise of non-dollar trade—and assesses whether the dollar can maintain its status as the world’s risk-free asset in a new era of managed currency competition.

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A wide view of a G20 summit conference hall featuring flags and representatives from various nations.

The Case for a Third Economic Pole Without the US or China

This analysis examines the recent Chatham House report, Saving global economic governance from the ‘Trump shock’, which advocates for the creation of a “third economic pole” in the global financial system. As the U.S. and China increasingly weaponize economic policy and dismantle multilateral institutions, the report argues that market-oriented middle powers must move beyond ad-hoc “variable geometry” coalitions. By establishing a standing alliance between the European Union and the 12 CPTPP member states, these nations could create a stable, rules-based trade bloc large enough to maintain economic openness and resilience independently of the two competing hegemons.

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Donald Trump and Cyril Ramaphosa seated indoors, with Trump holding a document showing a couple's photo

The Crumbling Pillar: How Gaza and G20 Isolation Signal the End of Unipolarity

The decline of unipolar authority is now evident, particularly highlighted by the US’s absence from the G20 Summit in South Africa. For years, global diplomacy relied on American leadership to resolve crises. However, the situation in Gaza and the West’s isolation at major multilateral events in late 2025 indicate that this era of singular influence is over.

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