Strategic competition today is defined by influence operations and narrative battles, yet American decision-making remains plagued by institutional overconfidence. Lessons from Afghanistan highlight a failure to track analytical accuracy, suggesting that the U.S. must invest in “decision infrastructure” and forecasting systems to turn intelligence into a durable advantage.
Ongoing conflict in the Strait of Hormuz has fractured traditional humanitarian supply lines, forcing agencies to reroute Afghan aid through Central Asia. With 3.7 million children at risk of malnutrition, the Lapis Lazuli Corridor and hubs like Termez have become vital lifelines for delivering essential food and medical supplies.
India’s diplomatic approach to Taliban-controlled Afghanistan is influenced more by strategic calculations than ideological alignment. As Pakistan’s influence wanes and China’s presence increases, India seeks to maintain connectivity to Central Asia while refraining from legitimizing a government that opposes its democratic values.
