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Category: Palestine and Isreal

Digital screen showing an Israeli flag with a red "X" through it and ISNAD branding for cyber warfare.

ISNAD’s Shift From Wartime Propaganda to Long-Term Social Warfare

February 24, 2026

The ISNAD network has shifted from wartime agitation to long‑term influence operations, using fake Hebrew accounts to erode Israeli social cohesion. Its new “sociological warfare” strategy promotes polarization, distrust, and emigration. With tighter organization and ideological volunteers, ISNAD offers a replicable model of civilian‑style interference that democracies are still struggling to counter.

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Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman walking together during an official ceremony.

Turkey’s Sunni Coalition Push Reshapes Middle East Power

February 23, 2026

Turkey is building a new Sunni‑majority alignment through rapid diplomacy with Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan. Arms deals, industrial cooperation, and coordinated statements on Gaza signal Ankara’s expanding influence. But rival ambitions, Gulf hedging, and Israel’s resistance to Turkish involvement in Gaza could limit how far this emerging coalition can solidify.

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A young boy sitting on a dirt mound in the foreground, looking toward a large grid of open rectangular burial plots made of concrete blocks, where bodies wrapped in white shrouds are being placed by a man wearing a mask and a teal hoodie.

Gaza’s Demilitarization Trap: Why Disarmament Spells Erasure

February 19, 2026

The ceasefire may have paused the bombing, but it has not paused the machinery of dispossession. With more than 71,600 Palestinians killed and a humanitarian system collapsing under blockade, Washington and Tel Aviv have made reconstruction conditional on one thing: disarmament. For Palestinians, this is not a peace plan — it is a demand to surrender the last remaining instrument of political agency.

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A composite image featuring Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in a dark coat, standing in front of a cracked stone background that displays the Turkish flag on the left and the Israeli flag on the right.

Ankara’s Legal War on Israel Reshapes the Region

February 19, 2026

Turkey is no longer treating its dispute with Israel as a diplomatic quarrel. It has transformed the relationship into a multi‑front legal, economic, and institutional confrontation designed to outlast the Gaza war and reshape regional norms. What began as political outrage has evolved into a sustained strategy of prosecution, isolation, and norm‑setting — a shift far more consequential than the Mavi Marmara rupture of 2010.

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A person seen from behind, carrying a rifle across their shoulders and wearing ammunition belts, looking at the sea.

Somaliland and the Scramble for Red Sea Dominance

February 8, 2026

In early 2026, the Red Sea corridor is undergoing a profound structural shift following Israel’s formal recognition of Somaliland on December 26, 2025. This move shattered a 34-year diplomatic stalemate and has effectively birthed a new “Middle Power Axis” in the Horn of Africa.

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A man in a dark suit and red tie speaking at a podium with Canadian flags in the background.

Canada’s Middle Power Rhetoric Collides With Gaza Reality

February 8, 2026

This analysis examines the growing disconnect between Prime Minister Mark Carney’s “middle power” rhetoric and Canada’s policy on Gaza as of early 2026. While Carney utilized the Davos 2026 platform to signal a new era of diplomatic “honesty,” critics argue that Canada’s continued use of arms-export loopholes and its response to the current nominal ceasefire highlight a systemic failure to apply international law consistently.

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Three men in formal suits standing behind transparent lecterns featuring the flags of Cyprus, Israel, and Greece during a press conference.

Eastern Mediterranean Defense Bloc Reshapes Regional Security

February 7, 2026

This report analyzes the rapid consolidation of the Israel-Greece-Cyprus trilateral partnership into a robust Eastern Mediterranean defense bloc as of early 2026. What was once an energy-focused cooperative has shifted into a “structural strategic alignment,” characterized by massive arms deals and institutionalized military coordination.

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A group of men and one woman sit behind a long white table labeled "BOARD of PEACE" while two men hold up open folders showing documents.

Regional Actors Navigate Post-Conflict Institutional Frameworks While Managing Domestic Advocacy Pressures

February 5, 2026

This analysis explores how eight major Muslim-majority states are navigating the “Board of Peace,” a post-conflict governance framework for Gaza established in late 2025. It details the strategic shift from external advocacy to “insider” participation, allowing these nations to influence reconstruction contracts, security coordination, and humanitarian oversight while using rhetorical framing to reconcile this involvement with traditional domestic support for Palestinian statehood.

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Two men in formal attire standing in a modern hall, looking at a large architectural model of a city.

The Changing Dynamics of Middle Eastern Alliances: A Battle Between Abrahamic and Islamic Coalitions

February 1, 2026

In early 2026, the Middle East has moved beyond the simple “Sunni vs. Shia” binary. Instead, the region is now fractured into two competing ideological and strategic blocs: the Abrahamic Coalition—focused on secular-leaning economic integration and high-tech defense—and the Islamic Coalition, which prioritizes sovereign statehood, Islamic solidarity, and a more cautious distance from Israel.

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A collection of various Iranian newspapers spread out on a wooden table, featuring headlines in Persian and a prominent photograph of Donald Trump on one of the front pages.

Iran’s Battle for Survival is the Arab World’s Fight Too

January 31, 2026

In early 2026, the Middle East has entered what analysts describe as a state of “Exhausted Realignment.” Following the kinetic “12-Day War” between Israel and Iran in June 2025 and the fall of the Assad regime in Syria in December 2024, the region is now caught between a “Maximum Pressure 2.0” campaign from Washington and a desperate diplomatic “hedging” strategy by the Gulf states.

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