Tag: G7

A graphic illustration of the word "DEBT" looming heavily over the US Capitol building.

America’s Debt Crisis Is Worse Than Politicians Admit

The United States faces an unprecedented peacetime fiscal crisis as federal debt approaches 100 percent of GDP during a period of strong economic growth. Driven by successive bipartisan tax cuts, rising interest rates, and the massive deficit impact of the recently passed Big Beautiful Bill, the structural deficit continues to widen. While some politicians argue that an artificial intelligence productivity boom will naturally resolve the imbalance, data from the Yale Budget Lab suggests that relying on automated growth to stabilize the debt is a dangerous miscalculation. Addressing this generational challenge will require a fundamental shift in political will, starting with structural revenue reforms rather than destabilizing cuts to essential social safety nets.

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A wide view of a G20 summit conference hall featuring flags and representatives from various nations.

The Case for a Third Economic Pole Without the US or China

This analysis examines the recent Chatham House report, Saving global economic governance from the ‘Trump shock’, which advocates for the creation of a “third economic pole” in the global financial system. As the U.S. and China increasingly weaponize economic policy and dismantle multilateral institutions, the report argues that market-oriented middle powers must move beyond ad-hoc “variable geometry” coalitions. By establishing a standing alliance between the European Union and the 12 CPTPP member states, these nations could create a stable, rules-based trade bloc large enough to maintain economic openness and resilience independently of the two competing hegemons.

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