Donald Trump – Page 4 – think tanks monitor

Donald Trump and an Iranian official superimposed over American and Iranian flags.

US-Iran Talks Are Failing And Both Sides Know It

May 23, 2026

This analysis examines the current collapse of US-Iran diplomatic efforts following the February 2026 outbreak of hostilities. By exploring the non-negotiable demands presented by Washington and Tehran’s defiant response, the article highlights the strategic impasse currently defining the conflict, including the continued blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and the precarious nature of the shaky, ongoing ceasefire.

Earth globe sitting on cracked, dry desert ground at sunset.

Updating a Climate Scenario Doesn’t Mean the Crisis Is Over

May 23, 2026

This analysis clarifies the recent retirement of the RCP8.5 climate scenario, correcting the misleading narrative that scientific updates signal an end to the climate crisis. By examining new CMIP7 data, the article demonstrates that while policy successes have moved us away from worst-case emissions pathways, the world still faces significant warming and irreversible environmental tipping points, underscoring the urgent need for continued climate action.

A crowd of people with a Cuban flag held high.

Is Cuba the Next Venezuela? Washington’s Escalation Playbook

May 23, 2026

This analysis examines the escalating U.S. pressure campaign against Cuba, characterized by intelligence leaks, criminal indictments, and economic blockades. By comparing these developments to the strategic framework used against Venezuela, the article explores how Washington is methodically constructing a legal and political pretext to justify potential future military intervention.

Two individuals holding the Syrian opposition flag in front of the White House.

Why Syria Must Build Lasting US Ties

May 22, 2026

This article evaluates the precarious state of the nascent US-Syria relationship following recent diplomatic breakthroughs. While shared security objectives have fostered cooperation, reliance on temporary alliances and personal networks leaves the partnership vulnerable to future political shifts. We analyze the strategic necessity for Damascus to institutionalize ties, prioritize economic engagement, and implement governance reforms to ensure long-term stability and international support.

A U.S. Navy warship sailing past commercial cargo container ships in a maritime chokepoint.

Hormuz Proved Chokepoints Can Be Weaponized. Asia Is Next.

May 22, 2026

This analysis explores the systemic vulnerability of global maritime chokepoints, highlighted by the recent closure of the Strait of Hormuz. We examine how drone technology and insurance market manipulation create catastrophic economic risks, with specific focus on Asia’s critical passages. The piece evaluates the geopolitical implications for China, the United States, and the intensifying competition over secondary trade corridors.

Vladimir Putin speaking at a podium with Russian and Chinese flags in the background.

Why US Pressure Keeps Pushing Moscow and Beijing Closer

May 20, 2026

This analysis explores the resilience of the Sino-Russian partnership, arguing that Western pressure has inadvertently solidified their cooperation. By examining the shift from ideological alignment to a partnership built on shared threats—and analyzing the failure of recent U.S. “wedge strategies”—we highlight why Moscow and Beijing view their collaboration as an indispensable strategic necessity, even amidst growing economic asymmetries and localized frictions.

Javier Milei shaking hands with Donald Trump at a Board of Peace event.

Milei Faces Pushback at Home

May 20, 2026

This analysis examines the growing rift between President Javier Milei’s ideological foreign policy and the Argentine public’s preference for non-alignment. By tracing his commitment to the Isaac Accords, the promise to relocate the embassy to Jerusalem, and the transactional nature of U.S.-backed financial stabilization, we highlight the risks of Milei’s “moral clarity” in a nation where both the public and political opposition view his foreign ventures as reckless and disconnected from national interests.

TV news broadcast showing Donald Trump and Xi Jinping shaking hands.

Indo-Pacific Allies Rethink Security After Trump’s Taiwan Gamble

May 20, 2026

This analysis explores the growing crisis of confidence among U.S. Indo-Pacific allies following recent shifts in Washington’s Taiwan policy. As traditional deterrence mechanisms face strain, key partners like Japan and South Korea are accelerating defense transformations and reconsidering long-standing nuclear restraint policies, signaling a profound shift in regional security architecture.

US President Donald Trump waving from the doorway of Air Force One while officials on the tarmac watch.

Why Delaying Taiwan’s Arms Sales Weakens Deterrence

May 19, 2026

This article criticizes the decision to hold Taiwan’s $14 billion arms package in abeyance as trade leverage with Beijing. Despite Taipei passing a crucial $25 billion defense budget, treating approved defensive hardware as a negotiating token weakens cross-Strait deterrence and risks inviting severe strategic miscalculation from a modernizing Chinese military.

Chinese President Xi Jinping and US President Donald Trump walking together indoors during a diplomatic summit in Beijing.

Trump’s Beijing Summit Signals a New US-China Power Balance

May 19, 2026

This analysis evaluates the strategic implications of the May 2026 Trump-Xi summit in Beijing. Signaling a breakdown of the traditional unipolar framework, the meeting underscored Washington’s implicit recognition of China as a co-equal power, as global supply chain realities and Middle East entanglements reshape the bilateral balance of power.

Small desktop flags of Russia and China standing crossed against a soft, light-colored background.

Putin’s 25th Visit to China Tests Beijing’s Balancing Act

May 19, 2026

This article analyzes Vladimir Putin’s 25th presidential visit to China, arriving immediately after Donald Trump’s departure from Beijing. While the leaders target energy deals like the Power of Siberia 2 pipeline, the summit highlights China’s strategic tightrope walk as an indispensable power broker managing ties with both Washington and Moscow.

Chinese President Xi Jinping speaking at a podium during the Beijing Summit with a prominent orange background displaying Beijing China.

Beijing’s Double Summit Rewrites the Power Triangle

May 19, 2026

This analysis explores the geopolitical significance of Xi Jinping hosting the American and Russian presidents back-to-back in Beijing. Breaking from historical Cold War dynamics, China now occupies the center of this unequal power triangle, balancing massive Western commercial ties with an existential energy partnership with a sanctioned, anxious Moscow.

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Tag: Donald Trump

US-Iran Talks Are Failing And Both Sides Know It

Updating a Climate Scenario Doesn’t Mean the Crisis Is Over

Is Cuba the Next Venezuela? Washington’s Escalation Playbook

Why Syria Must Build Lasting US Ties

Hormuz Proved Chokepoints Can Be Weaponized. Asia Is Next.

Why US Pressure Keeps Pushing Moscow and Beijing Closer

Milei Faces Pushback at Home

Indo-Pacific Allies Rethink Security After Trump’s Taiwan Gamble

Why Delaying Taiwan’s Arms Sales Weakens Deterrence

Trump’s Beijing Summit Signals a New US-China Power Balance

Putin’s 25th Visit to China Tests Beijing’s Balancing Act

Beijing’s Double Summit Rewrites the Power Triangle

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