
Three Months In, Iran Is Winning the War It Didn’t Start
This analysis evaluates the outcomes of “Operation Epic Fury,” the U.S.-Israeli military campaign against Iran that commenced on February 28, 2026. By contrasting the initial objectives of the intervention—ranging from regime change to the elimination of Iran’s nuclear capabilities—with the current geopolitical reality, the report examines how a fractured strategic plan led to a prolonged conflict, the consolidation of Iran’s new leadership, and the emergence of a tenuous ceasefire framework. Ultimately, the article argues that the gap between the war’s original premise and its results reveals the limitations of military-first approaches when confronted with resilient state apparatuses and the complexities of regional power dynamics.










