Israel – think tanks monitor

Artistic collage featuring the Iranian leader, Benjamin Netanyahu, and Donald Trump over a map.

Will the New US and Iran Peace Deal Mirror the JCPOA

May 30, 2026

This analysis examines the structural differences between the potential 2026 US-Iran agreement and the 2015 JCPOA. While both address nuclear concerns, the current negotiations are primarily driven by the urgent need to stabilize the Strait of Hormuz and resolve active military hostilities. We explore how this bilateral, crisis-led approach differs from the original multilateral framework and the challenges to achieving a lasting settlement.

A city skyline engulfed in thick, dark smoke from an industrial fire or explosion.

UAE’s Facade of Neutrality Crumbles in US-Iran War

May 30, 2026

This analysis examines the erosion of the United Arab Emirates’ neutrality during the 2026 US-Iran conflict. By detailing the UAE’s secret military participation, integration into regional air defense networks, and the subsequent economic and security vulnerabilities created by these choices, we explore how Abu Dhabi has moved from a regional arbiter to a direct, and exposed, participant in the ongoing regional war.

A damaged mural painted on a wall in Lebanon showing a peaceful house scene, with rubble in the foreground.

Breaking the Cycle: Can Lebanon’s Fourth Occupation Be Its Last?

May 25, 2026

This analysis examines the current military situation in Southern Lebanon, framing the ongoing buffer zone operations as a potential, albeit controversial, turning point for Lebanese state sovereignty. By evaluating the historical context of previous conflicts and the emergence of quiet, high-level diplomatic channels between Jerusalem and Beirut, the article explores whether dismantling non-state paramilitary influence could finally lead to a sustainable security arrangement, demilitarization, and the integration of Lebanon into a broader framework of regional stability.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman against a backdrop of the Iranian flag and historical diplomatic imagery.

GCC Rethinks Iran Strategy After Brutal War

May 22, 2026

This analysis examines the strategic shift within the GCC regarding Iran following recent regional conflicts. As energy security concerns rise, Gulf capitals are exploring non-aggression frameworks and diplomatic pathways to manage long-term tensions. We evaluate the feasibility of these proposals, the role of external mediators, and the path toward incremental stability.

Javier Milei shaking hands with Donald Trump at a Board of Peace event.

Milei Faces Pushback at Home

May 20, 2026

This analysis examines the growing rift between President Javier Milei’s ideological foreign policy and the Argentine public’s preference for non-alignment. By tracing his commitment to the Isaac Accords, the promise to relocate the embassy to Jerusalem, and the transactional nature of U.S.-backed financial stabilization, we highlight the risks of Milei’s “moral clarity” in a nation where both the public and political opposition view his foreign ventures as reckless and disconnected from national interests.

A man in traditional Emirati attire and glasses speaking behind a white podium featuring the United Arab Emirates Ministry of Foreign Affairs emblem.

UAE’s Legal Rhetoric Faces a Credibility Test

May 18, 2026

This analysis examines the growing contradiction between the United Arab Emirates’ diplomatic rhetoric championing international law and its controversial regional foreign policy. By evaluating Emirati involvement in Yemen, Sudan, and the Gaza conflict, the article highlights the credibility test Abu Dhabi faces in balancing strategic interests with global accountability.

A man holding a large Iranian flag in front of a massive billboard showing a close-up of a human face with lips tied together and text that reads "At The Breaking Point".

Iran War Shows the New Meaning of Power

May 18, 2026

This analysis explores how the Iran war highlights the shifting dynamics of global influence. While Western and Israeli military reach inflicts significant strain, Tehran’s endurance exposes the declining efficacy of unilateral American pressure. The conflict underscores a harsher strategic reality: traditional firepower no longer guarantees political compliance in a multipolar world.

UAE’s OPEC Exit Targets Iran’s War Economy

May 5, 2026

The UAE has announced its exit from OPEC effective May 1, 2026, signaling a major shift in Gulf energy politics. Abu Dhabi plans to increase oil production, aiming to weaken Iran’s revenue base during escalating regional tensions. The move could reshape OPEC dynamics and global energy markets.

A hand-drawn sign on a chain-link fence with a heart and an atom symbol, reading "Fordo is our heart," near a military facility.

The Nuclear Double Standard Fueling the Iran War

April 1, 2026

The strike near Dimona on March 22, 2026, has crystallized a long-standing debate over the “nuclear double standard” in the Middle East. While Washington justifies Operation Epic Fury as a necessary measure to prevent Iranian nuclear proliferation, critics point to the immunity granted to Israel’s unacknowledged arsenal as evidence of a fundamentally asymmetric global order.

A horizontal conceptual digital art piece featuring a hooded figure on the left, a red map of Iran in the center, and a detailed bronze Chinese dragon head on the right, all set against a background of digital binary code and a faded Israeli flag.

Beijing Builds a Digital Great Wall to Shield Iran From Mossad

February 19, 2026

China is no longer treating Israeli covert operations inside Iran as a distant regional issue. For Beijing, the recent wave of sabotage, assassinations, and radar penetrations has revealed a new model of warfare — one that blends cyber infiltration, internal disruption, and precision strikes. And because Iran sits at the heart of China’s Belt and Road energy corridor, Beijing now sees Iranian vulnerability as Chinese vulnerability.

A close-up portrait of Donald Trump on the left, positioned in front of a digital map of the United States that shows multiple red trajectory lines and explosion icons across different states.

How Missile Defense Shields Are Fueling Global Escalation

February 12, 2026

Missile defense systems meant to deter attacks are instead encouraging riskier offensives, driving arms races and destabilizing global security as nations pursue shields like THAAD and the Golden Dome under the illusion of strategic safety.

Two high-ranking political and religious leaders, Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Ali Khamenei, sitting in armchairs and smiling during a formal meeting, with the Iranian flag and a portrait of Ruhollah Khomeini in the background.

Ankara’s Iran Mediation Serves a Broader Ottoman-Era Ambition

February 9, 2026

Turkey’s mediation between the US and Iran reflects a long-term strategy to expand its regional influence, manage security risks, and assert a neo-Ottoman leadership role, even as credibility gaps and geopolitical rivalries limit how far Ankara’s ambitions can translate into real diplomatic authority.

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Tag: Israel

Will the New US and Iran Peace Deal Mirror the JCPOA

UAE’s Facade of Neutrality Crumbles in US-Iran War

Breaking the Cycle: Can Lebanon’s Fourth Occupation Be Its Last?

GCC Rethinks Iran Strategy After Brutal War

Milei Faces Pushback at Home

UAE’s Legal Rhetoric Faces a Credibility Test

Iran War Shows the New Meaning of Power

UAE’s OPEC Exit Targets Iran’s War Economy

The Nuclear Double Standard Fueling the Iran War

Beijing Builds a Digital Great Wall to Shield Iran From Mossad

How Missile Defense Shields Are Fueling Global Escalation

Ankara’s Iran Mediation Serves a Broader Ottoman-Era Ambition

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