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Tag: Trade War

Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping standing side by side in a large stone courtyard with the Temple of Heaven in Beijing visible in the background.

Trump’s China Visit Shows Beijing’s Strategic Confidence

May 18, 2026

This analysis evaluates Donald Trump’s high-profile visit to Beijing, highlighting the contrast between American economic objectives and China’s push for strategic equality. While yielding commercial agreements on agriculture and aircraft, the summit left core geopolitical friction points—including Taiwan, Iran, and technology supply chains—unresolved, signaling a temporary pause rather than a settlement.

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A person holding a long red dragon banner on a Shanghai waterfront with the Pudong skyline in the background.

Why China Holds Fewer Cards in Trade Tensions

May 14, 2026

Recent analysis suggests that while China’s export controls on critical minerals create short-term friction, Beijing’s broader economic leverage is declining. With real GDP growth estimated at roughly half the official target and a shrinking trade surplus with the U.S., China remains disproportionately dependent on Western markets. This structural vulnerability, combined with persistent property sector and debt issues, limits Beijing’s ability to sustain a prolonged economic confrontation without significant domestic repercussions.

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Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi standing between two European leaders, holding their hands up in a gesture of unity.

India’s Balancing Act: Surviving Trump 2.0 Without Picking a Side

April 24, 2026

The second Trump presidency has stress-tested India’s foreign policy like never before. Faced with tariff shocks and diplomatic friction over Russian oil, New Delhi has doubled down on its doctrine of multi-alignment. From finalizing a landmark EU trade deal to joining the US-led “Pax Silica” initiative while maintaining ties with Moscow and Beijing, India is navigating a fragmented global order by transforming economic pressure into strategic resilience.

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Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez shaking hands with Chinese President Xi Jinping in front of national flags.

Spain Courts Beijing: Sánchez Bets on China as Transatlantic Ties Fray

April 24, 2026

In a strategic response to fraying Transatlantic ties, Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez has solidified a pragmatic partnership with Beijing. By securing high-quality investments from Chinese giants like Chery and CATL—conditioned on local job creation and technology transfer—Spain is positioning itself as a vital manufacturing hub and a diplomatic bridge between China and a fragmented Europe. This report analyzes how Madrid is navigating U.S. pressure to secure its green transition and economic sovereignty.

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A conceptual image featuring two puzzle pieces with the flags of China and the European Union, with two small human figures standing on them facing each other.

EU Cybersecurity Rules Threaten China Trade Ties

April 22, 2026

Deepening tensions between the EU and China have reached a new flashpoint over proposed revisions to the European Cybersecurity Act. By introducing “non-technical” risk assessments, the EU moves toward potential exclusion of Chinese technology providers from critical infrastructure. This strategic shift faces fierce opposition from Beijing, which warns of severe disruptions to global trade, renewable energy goals, and the erosion of multilateral WTO principles.

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Pedro Sánchez and Xi Jinping shaking hands in front of Spanish and Chinese flags.

Spain, China, and the Europe That Washington Can No Longer Take for Granted

April 13, 2026

The deepening rift between Washington and Madrid has pushed Spain toward a landmark strategic alignment with China. Faced with U.S. threats of a total trade cutoff over the use of military bases, Prime Minister Sánchez has accelerated cooperation with Beijing in green energy and EV manufacturing. This shift represents a broader European trend: redefining “Western” loyalty in an era where strategic autonomy and energy security outweigh unilateral demands from the Oval Office.

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Black and white photo of Donald Trump meeting with European leaders, including Giorgia Meloni and Ursula von der Leyen, in the Oval Office.

US Coercive Diplomacy Accelerates European Strategic Autonomy

April 8, 2026

The aggressive shift in Washington’s coercive diplomacy has become the catalyst for European strategic autonomy. From threatening blanket tariffs over Greenland to linking NATO guarantees to trade concessions, US pressure is forcing European capitals to diversify partnerships and integrate their defense industrial bases to insulate themselves from transactional American foreign policy.

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Chinese female and male military officers in blue dress uniforms standing in formation with the Great Wall of China in the background.

How the Iran War Is Handing China an Industrial Crown

April 7, 2026

Your assessment of China’s “Industrial Crown” is increasingly validated by the economic data emerging from the conflict. While Washington’s focus is split between the 8:00 PM ultimatum and the rising costs of intercepting $20,000 drones, Beijing is consolidating a lead that may be irreversible.

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