Category: USA

An aerial view of a large grey aircraft carrier sailing across a deep blue ocean, with several fighter jets parked on its flight deck.

Scenarios for a US Military Strike on Iran

The recent surge in U.S. force posture—centered on the arrival of the USS Abraham Lincoln carrier strike group on January 26, 2026—has brought the “maximum pressure” campaign to a critical kinetic threshold. This buildup is the largest since Operation Midnight Hammer in June 2025, when B-2 stealth bombers struck Iranian nuclear sites at Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan.

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Allied Missile Defense Could Reshape East Asia’s SLBM Threat

This analysis examines how a trilateral, sea-based missile defense architecture between the U.S., Japan, and South Korea could neutralize the evolving North Korean Submarine-Launched Ballistic Missile (SLBM) threat. By moving away from the “sole defender” model depicted in the 2025 thriller A House of Dynamite, the alliance can leverage forward-deployed Aegis assets to create a layered, multi-azimuth defense that buys critical decision-making time.

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The national flags of the United States of America and the United Arab Emirates flying side-by-side against a blue sky with soft clouds.

Technology Partnerships and Diplomatic Intermediaries: A Framework for Peace Implementation

This analysis examines how the U.S.-UAE strategic partnership leverages a $1.4 trillion investment framework to replace traditional military dominance with AI-backed “Data-Driven Diplomacy.” By combining Microsoft’s $15.2 billion AI commitment with the UAE’s unique credibility in Moscow and Washington, this model offers a pragmatic, verifiable architecture for resolving complex global conflicts.

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A medium shot of a man with a dark beard, wearing a grey suit and black tie, standing in front of a flag and a patterned wall.

Syria’s Islamist Leadership Threatens Counter-Terrorism Goals and Regional Stability

The elevation of Ahmed al-Sharaa (formerly known by the nom de guerre Abu Mohammad al-Julani) to the presidency of Syria has fundamentally reshaped the geopolitical landscape. The transition from the Assad regime to the current transitional government has indeed forced a rapid recalibration of U.S. and international policy, balancing the removal of a long-standing adversary against the risks posed by a leader with former Al-Qaeda ties.

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Why Economic Pressure Against Iran Continues Despite Policy Failures

This analysis explores why Iran sanctions persist despite failing to curb nuclear or missile programs. It argues that the focus has shifted from behavioral change to deliberate economic destabilization. By fostering “ghost fleets” for oil exports and causing severe civilian humanitarian crises, these measures may serve regime-change agendas rather than stated diplomatic goals.

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Illustration featuring a large red clenched fist on the right and a yellow dollar sign over a silhouette map of Central and South America on the left, set against a red background with yellow stars.

Economic Pragmatism Trumps Ideology in Latin America’s China Dilemma

This article examines how Latin America’s deep-seated integration into Chinese trade networks—exceeding $515 billion in 2024—overrides the region’s recent rightward political shifts. Using case studies from Argentina’s soy exports to Brazil’s response to U.S. tariffs, it argues that economic pragmatism and the “commercial logic of resource extraction” remain more influential than ideological alignment with Washington.

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A glass globe of the Earth sits atop a pile of various international banknotes, surrounded by glowing digital currency symbols and a rising arrow.

Strategic Realignment and the Gradual Erosion of Economic Influence

This analysis details how global actors are countering unpredictable U.S. trade policies through “accelerated pursuit of alternative partnerships” and financial diversification. It highlights the shift toward conventional multilateral agreements (like the EU-India and Canada-China deals) and the steady decline of the dollar’s share in global reserves—falling from 72% in 2000 to 56.9% by 2025—as nations hedge against geopolitical risk.

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A group of people gathered in an outdoor courtyard where several black body bags are laid out on the ground.

The Death Toll in Iranian Protests: A Psychological Game to Provoke U.S. Intervention

In early February 2026, the debate over Iranian casualty figures has moved beyond mere counting into a high-stakes battle over the validity of human rights evidence versus strategic information warfare. The “January massacres” have produced a range of data so wide that it has effectively paralyzed the international community’s ability to respond with a single, unified voice.

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A large crowd of people holding up posters with a portrait of a bearded man in a black turban and glasses.

Strategic Miscalculation: Why Iranian Regime Change Would Destabilize the Region

In early February 2026, the debate over Iranian regime change has moved from theoretical policy papers to an active military and intelligence reality. Following the “Midnight Hammer” strikes of June 2025 and the massive, violent unrest of January 2026, the region stands at a precipice where the collapse of the Islamic Republic is no longer unthinkable, but potentially catastrophic.

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