In January 2026, the century-long cycle of resource-driven intervention in Latin America reached a dramatic new inflection point. On January 3, 2026, the United States launched Operation Absolute Resolve, a high-intensity military raid in Caracas that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro.
In January 2026, the capture of Nicolás Maduro by U.S. forces stands as the ultimate consequence of a leader who gambled on regional aggression and lost. While Operation Absolute Resolve was the kinetic end, Maduro’s downfall was structurally prepared by his systematic alienation of every neighbor that once formed his “Bolivarian” shield.
In January 2026, the capture of Nicolás Maduro has fundamentally redefined the “Trump Doctrine,” shifting it from a policy of rhetorical isolationism to one of targeted, high-impact intervention. While the operation—codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve—was tactically swift, its geopolitical implications are expansive. It signals a move away from the “forever wars” of the past two decades toward a “transactional realism” that uses overwhelming force for specific, finite objectives.
As we enter the first week of January 2026, the global landscape is defined by the fallout from the U.S. military operation in Venezuela and a critical “election-year” posture from Washington. The year ahead suggests a shift from the post-war multilateral order toward a more transactional, high-stakes era of “sovereignty-first” politics.
As of January 5, 2026, the aftermath of Operation Absolute Resolve has left Venezuela in a state of strategic confusion. While President Trump celebrated the “capture” of Nicolás Maduro as a historic law enforcement success, the administration’s stated plan to “run” the country has met with significant domestic and international skepticism.
In early 2026, the global security landscape is dominated by the fallout of the Trump administration’s 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) and the subsequent military operation in Venezuela. These actions have ignited a fierce debate over whether the administration’s “America First” doctrine is a path to restraint or a new era of aggressive unilateralism.
On January 3, 2026, the U.S. executed Operation Absolute Resolve, a massive military strike on Caracas that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores. Trump has since declared a “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine, signaling a new era of direct intervention.
In January 2026, the international order shifted into a more aggressive era of American interventionism, marked by the dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and the implementation of a new “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine.
In 2025, the “America First” foreign policy yielded a contradictory scorecard of five successes and five failures. While the administration successfully pivoted toward a more realistic National Security Strategy and engaged in pragmatic diplomacy with Russia, Belarus, and the Houthis, it simultaneously stumbled into escalatory patterns in Iran, Venezuela, and Syria.
Russia views the U.S. escalation in Venezuela as a strategic opportunity to finalize a “global bargain” on Ukraine. By equating American intervention in its “backyard” with Russian actions in Eurasia, the Kremlin aims to secure a transactional peace that formalizes its influence over the ex-Soviet neighborhood.
Trump’s “Operation Southern Spear” leverages a fentanyl WMD designation to bypass Congress, launching military strikes and an oil blockade against Venezuela.
As the Trump administration revives the Monroe Doctrine to pressure Caracas, Beijing’s influence in Latin America faces a critical test. Despite condemning U.S. “bullying,” China’s response remains purely symbolic, revealing its unwillingness to militarily defend Venezuela and highlighting the stark reality of American hegemony in the Western Hemisphere.
