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Tag: USA

3D silver numbers "2026" placed on a dark surface with a glowing blue financial growth chart in the background.

Policy Volatility Clouds 2026 Economic Outlook Despite Growth Optimism

December 23, 2025

Economic forecasts suggest modest expansion for the US in 2026, with Goldman Sachs estimating a 2.6% GDP growth driven by AI investment. However, ongoing policy uncertainty from the Trump administration may jeopardize these projections, leading to political disruptions influencing midterm election results. Current indicators are favorable for opposition messaging, as negative consumer sentiment persists and inflation remains a top concern. GDP growth for 2025 is projected at 2%, lower than Biden’s last two years, while unemployment has increased from 4% at Biden’s exit to 4.6% currently.

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Two people riding bicycles past a heavily destroyed apartment building in a war zone.

European Strategic Decline: Three Concurrent Crises Reshape Global Power Dynamics

December 23, 2025

Three key geopolitical events in 2025 have shifted Europe’s role from an aspiring strategic player to a subordinate partner reliant on external powers. The military defeat in Ukraine, technological dependence on China, and economic capitulation to the United States expose deep structural vulnerabilities that years of integration did not resolve, resulting in Europe’s reduced influence amid increasing global competition.

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A wide view of many people sitting in rows on the ground in the courtyard of a large, white mosque with a tall minaret.

Bangladesh Political Transition: International Engagement with Islamist Movements

December 19, 2025

Bangladesh is undergoing significant political changes after the 2024 government transition, with increased international engagement, particularly from the United States, with various political groups ahead of the February 2026 elections. This diplomatic activity has spotlighted Islamist political movements, prompting discussions about strategic considerations, the future of democratic development, and implications for regional stability.

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Chinese President Xi Jinping and Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro shaking hands in front of several Chinese and Venezuelan flags

China-Venezuela Partnership: Testing All-Weather Alliance Under Pressure

December 18, 2025

Recent U.S. military actions near Venezuela have challenged China’s commitment to its partnership with Caracas, showcasing a mix of rhetorical support, economic engagement, and military cooperation, but lacking in security guarantees or substantial financial support. This situation highlights China’s strategy in managing partnerships under Western influence and the limitations of its declarations of solidarity.

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A wide shot of various national flags, including the US, UK, and Turkey, flying in a circle in front of a modern brick and glass building.

Transatlantic Alliance Transformation: Strategic Implications of American Reorientation

December 18, 2025

The North Atlantic relationship is undergoing a significant transformation due to shifting American strategic priorities from alliance-based internationalism to sphere-of-influence arrangements among major powers. This change, evident in recent policies and diplomatic actions, raises important questions regarding the sustainability of the transatlantic security architecture and its implications for both American and European interests.

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A close-up of Donald Trump speaking at a summit table with a "United States" nameplate and a small American flag in front of him

Middle East Strategic Reorientation: From Direct Engagement to Containment

December 17, 2025

The 2025 National Security Strategy marks a significant shift in U.S. policy towards the Middle East, transitioning from extensive political and military involvement to a limited engagement prioritizing energy security and hindering regional adversaries. This change prompts important inquiries regarding the alignment of the new assumptions with the actual dynamics of the region.

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A close-up, shallow-depth-of-field shot of several small American desk flags standing in a row

America’s Strategic Recalibration: Addressing Post-Cold War Policy Insolvency

December 16, 2025

The 2025 National Security Strategy marks a significant shift from longstanding American foreign policy by recognizing resource limitations and emphasizing geographical proximity rather than global intervention. This change, while controversial, aims to address the “insolvency” issue—highlighting the disconnect between national goals and the means to accomplish them.

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A jigsaw puzzle where the pieces show the American flag, with a missing piece being replaced by a dark piece featuring a map of the Middle East

Business Entanglements Shape American Foreign Policy Execution

December 16, 2025

The intersection of commercial interests and diplomatic decision-making is a defining feature of current American foreign policy, as evidenced by dropped prosecutions, controversial pardons, and Gulf investments. These cases highlight the influence of personal business relationships on international relations, raising questions about conflict of interest, transparency, and strategic coherence.

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Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shaking hands on an airport tarmac in front of Air Force One

The Atlantic Fracture: Trump’s 2025 Strategy Aligns with Moscow, Alienates Europe

December 9, 2025

The Trump administration’s 2025 National Security Strategy (NSS) has upset the longstanding transatlantic consensus, alarming nations like Germany and Poland while appealing to Russia. The 33-page document frames European integration as a threat to civilization and emphasizes “patriotic” nationalism, undermining NATO’s ideological foundations even as member countries reach record defense spending levels.

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