In December 2025, mass protests erupted across Iran, sparked not by a revolutionary movement but by the sheer desperation of a collapsing economy. The Iranian rial plummeted to a historic low of 1.42 million per dollar, triggering market shutdowns and the largest civil unrest since 2022.
In 2025, China successfully positioned itself as a “stability leader” by exploiting Donald Trump’s transactional foreign policy. While Washington disrupted alliances and institutional norms, Beijing unveiled its Global Governance Initiative, offering the Global South a pluralistic, non-liberal alternative to a fragmenting Western order.
On December 12, 2025, Washington launched Pax Silica, a strategic US-led initiative designed to secure the “silicon supply chain” and counter China’s dominance in the AI economy. Described by Under Secretary Jacob Helberg as the “G7 of the AI age,” the pact treats computing power and critical minerals as the strategic equivalents of 20th-century oil and steel.
In 2025, security assessments have highlighted a “paradigm shift” as extremist groups move from passive technology use to the active integration of Generative AI for propaganda, recruitment, and attack planning.
Russia views the U.S. escalation in Venezuela as a strategic opportunity to finalize a “global bargain” on Ukraine. By equating American intervention in its “backyard” with Russian actions in Eurasia, the Kremlin aims to secure a transactional peace that formalizes its influence over the ex-Soviet neighborhood.
The Mar-a-Lago meeting between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu revealed a deepening power imbalance, with Trump prioritizing his own “Peace Blueprint” over Israeli strategic demands. While Netanyahu failed to secure a green light for Iran strikes or block Turkish involvement in Gaza, he signaled submission by awarding Trump the 2026 Israel Prize.
The global financial system is at a critical juncture as digital currencies redefine international monetary flows. To maintain dollar supremacy, Washington must transition from traditional banking models to advanced digital infrastructure, ensuring the greenback remains the primary rail for global trade amidst rising competition from China’s digital yuan.
Trump’s 2025 National Security Strategy prioritizes economic competition over ideological warfare, reframing China as a commercial rival rather than a systemic threat. By reviving the Monroe Doctrine and demanding allies triple defense spending, the administration seeks “low-cost hegemony” while shifting America’s strategic center of gravity toward the Pacific Rim.
Trump’s 2025 peace push centers on a transactional deal trading Ukrainian NATO aspirations for long-term U.S. security guarantees. The framework involves potential territorial concessions in Donbas and a national referendum, shifting away from previous demands for full Russian withdrawal to prioritize a rapid, comprehensive end to the war.
As transatlantic relations hit a breaking point in 2025, Europe faces a critical crossroads. From aggressive trade tariffs to diplomatic provocations regarding Greenland and travel bans on EU officials, Washington’s actions demand a shift toward strategic autonomy. Europe must now move beyond restraint to implement effective deterrence against its historic ally.
Trump’s “Operation Southern Spear” leverages a fentanyl WMD designation to bypass Congress, launching military strikes and an oil blockade against Venezuela.
In a major shift toward “business-oriented diplomacy,” President Trump has appointed Detroit entrepreneur Mark Savaya as the U.S. Special Envoy to Iraq. A Chaldean-American with deep regional ties but no traditional diplomatic background, Savaya is tasked with stabilizing Iraq’s economy and curbing Iranian influence. His mission—focused on disarming militias and opening Iraqi oil and energy markets—signals a pragmatic, deal-driven era for U.S.-Iraq relations that prioritizes economic sovereignty over conventional foreign policy.
