Military Intervention – think tanks monitor

Iran and the Logic of Limited Wars

Israel’s limited war on Iran needs to be judged against the alternatives. By that measure, the operation was a success. Limited wars can buy time, shift the geopolitical dynamic and, in doing so, pave the way to something more enduring.

Trump’s “Sheriffs” Can’t Keep the Peace with China

Trump’s foreign policy echoes Nixon’s doctrine of delegating regional security to allies (like Israel in the Middle East) to reduce U.S. burdens. While this approach shows promise in the Middle East and Europe, it faces hurdles: loss of control over proxies, continued U.S. involvement needs, and outright failure in Asia—where China’s military dominance makes allied self-reliance impossible.

A large crowd of people holding up posters with a portrait of a bearded man in a black turban and glasses.

Strategic Miscalculation: Why Iranian Regime Change Would Destabilize the Region

February 2, 2026

In early February 2026, the debate over Iranian regime change has moved from theoretical policy papers to an active military and intelligence reality. Following the “Midnight Hammer” strikes of June 2025 and the massive, violent unrest of January 2026, the region stands at a precipice where the collapse of the Islamic Republic is no longer unthinkable, but potentially catastrophic.

Side-by-side portraits of Donald Trump on the left and Nicolas Maduro on the right.

Trump’s Venezuela Operation Reveals a Pragmatic Foreign Policy Approach

January 6, 2026

In January 2026, the capture of Nicolás Maduro has fundamentally redefined the “Trump Doctrine,” shifting it from a policy of rhetorical isolationism to one of targeted, high-impact intervention. While the operation—codenamed Operation Absolute Resolve—was tactically swift, its geopolitical implications are expansive. It signals a move away from the “forever wars” of the past two decades toward a “transactional realism” that uses overwhelming force for specific, finite objectives.

Nicolás Maduro in a blue suit and a woman with grey hair and glasses standing next to each other.

Trump’s Venezuela Strike Threatens Entire Latin America with Military Intervention

January 4, 2026

On January 3, 2026, the U.S. executed Operation Absolute Resolve, a massive military strike on Caracas that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro and First Lady Cilia Flores. Trump has since declared a “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine, signaling a new era of direct intervention.

A soldier in military gear looking out from a helicopter at a blue and white ship on the water.

Trump’s Military Strikes Signal 2026 Will Be Defined by American Warfare

January 4, 2026

In January 2026, the international order shifted into a more aggressive era of American interventionism, marked by the dramatic capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and the implementation of a new “Trump Corollary” to the Monroe Doctrine.

Vladimir Putin and Nicolas Maduro smiling and shaking hands in a formal room with flags.

Moscow Could Benefit More Than Lose from Washington’s Venezuela Escalation

January 1, 2026

Russia views the U.S. escalation in Venezuela as a strategic opportunity to finalize a “global bargain” on Ukraine. By equating American intervention in its “backyard” with Russian actions in Eurasia, the Kremlin aims to secure a transactional peace that formalizes its influence over the ex-Soviet neighborhood.

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Iran and the Logic of Limited Wars

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Strategic Miscalculation: Why Iranian Regime Change Would Destabilize the Region

Trump’s Venezuela Operation Reveals a Pragmatic Foreign Policy Approach

Trump’s Venezuela Strike Threatens Entire Latin America with Military Intervention

Trump’s Military Strikes Signal 2026 Will Be Defined by American Warfare

Moscow Could Benefit More Than Lose from Washington’s Venezuela Escalation

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