Tag: Extended Deterrence

A wide shot of a heavily damaged industrial power plant in Ukraine, showing collapsed roofs, charred metal structures, and debris scattered across the site.

Ukraine War Exposed the Failure of Western Deterrence Assumptions

In January 2026, the strategic fallout from the Ukraine war has fundamentally dismantled the “post-Cold War” playbook. Western leaders now operate under a new, grimmer set of assumptions: that war is a contest of industrial stamina, not just initial tech; that economic ties can be weapons of coercion; and that “red lines” mean nothing without the munitions to back them up.

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The exterior of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) headquarters building with lush green landscaping and the "Symbol of Unity" monument.

Indo-Pacific Strategic Geography Challenges US Extended Deterrence Framework

The Indo-Pacific has replaced the Cold War-era European theater as the primary arena for American strategic competition, presenting unique geographic and military challenges. As China targets 2027 for regional dominance and control over Taiwan, the U.S. is rapidly adapting its alliance structures with Japan, Australia, and the Philippines to counter advanced missile threats and navigate a complex new era of nuclear deterrence.

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