As of February 2, 2026, the Persian Gulf has reached a peak of strategic tension. While Washington has signaled potential military action against Tehran following a brutal domestic crackdown in Iran, Gulf capitals—historically Iran’s most vocal critics—have emerged as the primary advocates for restraint.
Ahmed al-Sharaa’s administration in Syria marked its first anniversary by achieving diplomatic milestones and facing internal strife post-Bashar al-Assad’s fall. Key successes include gaining Western backing, with the U.S. and U.K. removing Sharaa from terrorist lists, and normalizing relations through significant meetings, notably with President Trump. These diplomatic efforts led to sanctions relief under the Caesar Act and Syria’s return to SWIFT, fostering prospects for economic recovery amid challenges in asserting control over the diverse sectarian landscape.
Ahmed al-Sharaa’s meeting with President Trump on November 10 marked a significant diplomatic achievement for Syria, resulting in the removal of UN Security Council sanctions and a suspension of the Caesar Act for six months. However, consolidating this international recognition domestically is challenging due to Kurdish forces’ resistance to integration, demands for autonomy from Druze leaders, and Israeli military expansion in southern Syria.
The October 2025 summit in Moscow between Vladimir Putin and Ahmed al-Sharaa highlights a shift in Russia’s diplomatic strategy following the collapse of the Ba’athist regime in Syria. Contrary to predictions of diminished Russian influence, the Kremlin has adapted its approach, favoring transactional pragmatism over ideological loyalty. By engaging with former adversaries, Russia seeks to preserve its strategic interests in the Mediterranean, underscoring that its foreign policy is primarily motivated by practical concerns.
