Category: Persian Gulf Countries

Leaders of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) at a summit, symbolizing the growing economic and political competition between Saudi Arabia and the UAE.

Saudi-UAE Regional Competition: Economic Hub Rivalry and Political Divergence Risk Gulf Stability

The competition between Riyadh and Abu Dhabi has shifted from healthy rivalry to a high-stakes struggle for regional gravity. As Saudi Arabia lures 675 global headquarters with tax incentives, it directly challenges the UAE’s hub model. This economic friction, mirrored in political clashes over Sudan and Yemen, threatens to destabilize Gulf integration and overall regional security.

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A line of Israeli Merkava tanks and a supply truck moving along a paved road next to a barbed-wire border fence

Israeli Military Expansion in Syria Risks Strategic Overextension Despite Initial Advantages

Twelve months after Bashar al-Assad’s fall, Israeli forces have carried out over 600 military operations in Syria, averaging nearly two daily. This extensive campaign, alongside the occupation of territories beyond the 1974 disengagement lines, illustrates a classic pattern of overreach, where tactical dominance leads to strategic vulnerability due to commitments across multiple fronts without clear objectives.

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A jigsaw puzzle where the pieces show the American flag, with a missing piece being replaced by a dark piece featuring a map of the Middle East

Business Entanglements Shape American Foreign Policy Execution

The intersection of commercial interests and diplomatic decision-making is a defining feature of current American foreign policy, as evidenced by dropped prosecutions, controversial pardons, and Gulf investments. These cases highlight the influence of personal business relationships on international relations, raising questions about conflict of interest, transparency, and strategic coherence.

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United Nations Secretary-General António Guterres shaking hands with Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia' al-Sudani in front of UN and Iraqi flags

Regional Powers Position Mediation Capacity as Alternative to Civilizational Conflict Paradigm

UN Secretary-General António Guterres’s visits to Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Iraq mark a potential shift from external crisis management to regional diplomatic leadership, particularly highlighted by the formal closure of UNAMI after 22 years. This development challenges Samuel Huntington’s “clash of civilizations” framework by illustrating how culturally connected states can effectively mediate conflicts that hinder international institutions.

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